At +4000, Denny McCarthy will look to his recent top 10s to take the next step.

Karma. It’s true.

Tony Finau knows this because of the many close calls in his career to date. The three-time PGA Tour winner could have a few more had it not been for the ruthless play of his competitors in the final round. However, he has built a good juju over time and last week was the one who capitalized on the leader’s shortcomings to win the 3M Open as a pre-tournament favorite.

As for picks, Davis Riley disappointed and missed the cut and Chris Gotterup couldn’t recover from his first round but recorded a respectable T31. Nonetheless, it was all about the sleepers this year, and Callum Tarren came out big with a T7.

We continue our jockey for the FedEx Cup playoffs this week at Detroit Golf Club for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Similar to last week, this 7,370-yard, par-72 Midwest layout will offer no resistance to top players. With the average winning score here being 22 under par, the extra distance off the tee will be a focal point with the birdie average. Luckily for us, this week’s field is much more robust, so let’s take a look at the odds.

According to SI Sportsbook, the favorite is last year’s FedEx Cup winner Patrick Cantlay at +1000. Close behind is last week’s 3M Open winner Tony Finau at +1200. Next up is elite ball hitter Will Zalatoris at +1400, followed by second machine Cameron Young at +2000. Closing the notables is Wells Fargo champion Max Homa at +2200.

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It’s unbelievable that two non-winners are so high on the odds table, but what’s more amazing is the play of Zalatoris and Young during this year’s campaign. The latter was particularly impressive, so we’ll take the added value in Cameron Young at +2000. After another world-class display at the British Open, it seems like a good time for Young to claim his first win. Young added three more second-place finishes this season as well as a pair of T3s. More importantly, Young ranks second in shots gained: on the start of the season and he will put those talents to good use this week.

For a pick, Denny McCarthy at +4000 seems like the right choice here. In three of his last four starts he’s gone T5, T7 and T6, including the US Open where he shot the lowest score over the last 36 holes. Unlike our other two picks, McCarthy doesn’t excel as much off the tee, but he makes up for it by being one of the best putters in the world. He ranks third on the season in strokes won: putting and this also allows him to be in the top 15 in scoring average on the Tour. His style of play may not jump to the page for this layout, but the elite putting moves well on any course.

For a sleeper, we know we keep hitting that kid, but Chris Gotterup at +8000 must be the game. Last week, the only thing that held him back was a 75 first round. After a bogey-bogey start on Friday, he finished the final 52 holes at 10 under par. Because of a single wrong turn, we now get it at a very attractive value on a very similar test. In his last 24 rounds, he’s been off the tee for a long time while ranking in the top 15 in par-5 scoring. Two key ingredients at Detroit Golf Club to continue its momentum as someone to watch in the years to come.

Selection scoreboard 2021-22:

Events: 36
Winners: 5
Top 5: 11
Top 10: seven
Top 20: 3

Here are some notable odds, according to SI Sportsbook:

Patrick Canlay +1000
Tony Finau +1200
Will Zalatoris +1400
Cameron Young +2000
Max Homa +2200
Cameron Davis +3000
Adam Scott +3300
Davis Riley +3500
Keegan Bradley+3500
Kevin Kisner +3500
Webb Simpson +3500
Adam Hadwin +4000
Cameron Tringale +4000
Denny McCarthy +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Sahith Theegala +4000
Gary Woodland +4500
Marc Hubbard +4500
Chris Kirk +5000
Joo Hyung Kim +5000
Kevin Streelman +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Scott Stallings +5000
Si Woo Kim +5000
Champion Cameron +5500
Brendan Steele +6000
Jason Day +6000
Jonathan Vegas +6000
Matt Kuchar +6000
Taylor Pendrith +6000
Troy Merritt +6600
Adam Svensson +7000
Alex Smalley +7000
Patrick Rodgers+7500
Ryan Palmer +7500
Wyndham Clark +7500
Panoramic CT +8000
Chris Gotterup +8000
Danny Willet +8000
Harris English +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Nick Hardy +8000
Ricky Fowler +8000
Doug Ghim +9000
Greyson Sigg+9000
Joel Dahmen +9000
Luke List +9000
Mackenzie Hughes +9000
Austin Smotherman +10000
Callum Tarren +10000
Dylan Frittelli+10000
James Hahn +10000
Michel Gligic +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Trey Mullinax +10000